{"id":4056,"date":"2024-10-24T07:54:39","date_gmt":"2024-10-24T07:54:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/apex-aiexperts.com\/?p=4056"},"modified":"2024-10-24T07:54:39","modified_gmt":"2024-10-24T07:54:39","slug":"%e3%82%b3%e3%83%83%e3%83%88%e3%83%ac%e3%83%9d%e3%83%bc%e3%83%88%e3%81%ae%e8%a6%8b%e6%96%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/apex-aiexperts.com\/ja\/how-to-interpret-the-cot-report\/","title":{"rendered":"COT\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u306e\u898b\u65b9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u3055\u3066\u3001\u30bb\u30f3\u30c1\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u306e\u6975\u7aef\u3055\u3092\u5224\u65ad\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\u306f\u308f\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u30bb\u30f3\u30c1\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u304c\u6975\u7aef\u3067\u3042\u308c\u3070\u3042\u308b\u307b\u3069\u3001\u76f8\u5834\u306e\u5929\u4e95\u3084\u5e95\u3092\u793a\u3059\u308f\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3092\u601d\u3044\u51fa\u3057\u3066\u307b\u3057\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6295\u6a5f\u7684\u30dd\u30b8\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u30ed\u30f3\u30b0\u3068\u30b7\u30e7\u30fc\u30c8\u306e\u5272\u5408\u3092\u8a08\u7b97\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u304c\u5929\u4e95\u3092\u6253\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u304b\u5e95\u3092\u6253\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3092\u898b\u6975\u3081\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u3088\u308a\u826f\u3044\u6307\u6a19\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">%-long\u3068%-short\u306e\u8a08\u7b97\u5f0f\u3092\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306b\u793a\u3059\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/bpcdn.co\/images\/2010\/11\/long-short.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/bpcdn.co\/images\/2010\/11\/long-short-300x117.png\" alt=\"COT\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\" class=\"wp-image-41256\" title=\"COT\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u3053\u308c\u3092\u5206\u304b\u308a\u3084\u3059\u304f\u8aac\u660e\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u3001\u6570\u5e74\u524d\u306b\u623b\u3063\u3066\u30ab\u30ca\u30c0\u30c9\u30eb\u5148\u7269\u3067\u4f55\u304c\u8d77\u3053\u3063\u305f\u304b\u3092\u898b\u3066\u307f\u3088\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2008\u5e748\u670822\u65e5\u306b\u7d42\u308f\u308b\u9031\u306b\u767a\u8868\u3055\u308c\u305fCOT\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u3092\u898b\u3066\u307f\u3088\u3046\u3001&nbsp;<strong>\u6295\u6a5f\u7b4b\u306f28,085\u679a\u306e\u58f2\u308a\u8d8a\u3057<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2009\u5e743\u670820\u65e5\u3001\u5f7c\u3089\u306f&nbsp;<strong>23,950\u679a\u306e\u58f2\u308a\u8d8a\u3057<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u3053\u306e\u60c5\u5831\u3060\u3051\u304b\u3089\u3059\u308b\u3068\u30018\u6708\u306f\u30b7\u30e7\u30fc\u30c8\u3059\u308b\u6295\u6a5f\u7b4b\u304c\u591a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3067\u3001\u76f8\u5834\u304c\u5e95\u3092\u6253\u3064\u78ba\u7387\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u3067\u3082\u3001\u3061\u3087\u3063\u3068\u5f85\u3063\u3066\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u305d\u3093\u306a\u306b\u7c21\u5358\u3060\u3068\u306f\u601d\u308f\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3067\u3057\u3087\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/bpcdn.co\/images\/2016\/05\/freshman-short-ratio2-2.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/bpcdn.co\/images\/2016\/05\/freshman-short-ratio2-2.png\" alt=\"COT\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u30b7\u30e7\u30fc\u30c8\u3068\u30ed\u30f3\u30b0\u306e\u6bd4\u7387\u306f\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u5929\u4e95\u3068\u5e95\u3092\u898b\u6975\u3081\u308b\u306e\u306b\u5f79\u7acb\u3064\" title=\"COT\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u30b7\u30e7\u30fc\u30c8\u3068\u30ed\u30f3\u30b0\u306e\u6bd4\u7387\u306f\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u5929\u4e95\u3068\u5e95\u3092\u898b\u6975\u3081\u308b\u306e\u306b\u5f79\u7acb\u3064\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u3088\u304f\u898b\u308b\u3068\u300166,726\u679a\u304c\u30b7\u30e7\u30fc\u30c8\u3067\u300138,641\u679a\u304c\u30ed\u30f3\u30b0\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002\u306e\u6295\u6a5f\u7684\u30dd\u30b8\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u3046\u3061&nbsp;<strong>8\u6708<\/strong>&nbsp;(66,726 \/ (38,641 + 66,726)),&nbsp;<strong>63.3%<\/strong>&nbsp;\u306f\u30b7\u30e7\u30fc\u30c8\u30dd\u30b8\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4ed6\u65b9\u3001\u30ed\u30f3\u30b0\u306e\u7d04\u5b9a\u4ef6\u6570\u306f\u308f\u305a\u304b8,715\u4ef6\u3001\u30b7\u30e7\u30fc\u30c8\u306e\u7d04\u5b9a\u4ef6\u6570\u306f32,665\u4ef6\u3067\u3042\u3063\u305f\u3002&nbsp;<strong>3\u6708<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\uff0832,655\u00f7\uff088,715\uff0b32,665\uff09\uff09\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3002&nbsp;<strong>78.9%<\/strong>&nbsp;\u3053\u306e\u671f\u9593\u3001\u6295\u6a5f\u7684\u30dd\u30b8\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u3046\u3061\u3001\u30b7\u30e7\u30fc\u30c8\u30fb\u30dd\u30b8\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u304c\u5360\u3081\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u4f55\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3059\u308b\u306e\u304b\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u5168\u6295\u6a5f\u30dd\u30b8\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e78.9%\u304c\u30b7\u30e7\u30fc\u30c8\u3067\u3042\u308b\u306e\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u300163.3%\u304c\u30b7\u30e7\u30fc\u30c8\u3067\u3042\u308b\u5834\u5408\u3001\u5e95\u6253\u3061\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e0a\u306e\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u3067\u304a\u308f\u304b\u308a\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3001\u30ab\u30ca\u30c0\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u4fa1\u5024\u304c\u304a\u3088\u305d94\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f2008\u5e748\u6708\u9803\u306b\u306f\u3001\u5b9f\u969b\u306b\u306f\u5e95\u306f\u6253\u305f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u30ab\u30ca\u30c0\u30c9\u30eb\u306f\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u6570\u30ab\u6708\u306b\u308f\u305f\u3063\u3066\u4e0b\u843d\u3092\u7d9a\u3051\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">3\u6708\u306b\u5165\u308a\u3001%\u3068\u30b7\u30e7\u30fc\u30c8\u306e\u6bd4\u7387\u304c78.9%\u306b\u9054\u3057\u305f\u9803\u306b\u306f\u3001\u30ab\u30ca\u30c0\u30c9\u30eb\u306f77\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u30bb\u30f3\u30c8\u524d\u5f8c\u3067\u5e95\u3092\u6253\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u305d\u308c\u304b\u3089\u3069\u3046\u306a\u3063\u305f\u304b\uff1f\u7740\u5b9f\u306b\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u59cb\u3081\u305f\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u5e95\uff1f\u305d\u3046\u3060\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Now that we know how to determine sentiment extremes, what\u2019s next? Recall that not every sentiment extreme results in a market top or bottom so we\u2019ll need a more accurate indicator. Calculating the percentage of speculative positions that are long or short would be a better gauge to see whether the market is topping or bottoming out. The equation to calculate for the %-long and %-short is indicated below: To illustrate this better, let\u2019s go back a few years and see what happened with Canadian dollar futures. Going through the COT reports released on the week ending August 22, 2008,&nbsp;speculators were net short 28,085 contracts. On March 20, 2009, they [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[74,73],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4056","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-sentiment","category-undergraduate-freshman"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/apex-aiexperts.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4056","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/apex-aiexperts.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/apex-aiexperts.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/apex-aiexperts.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/apex-aiexperts.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4056"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/apex-aiexperts.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4056\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4057,"href":"https:\/\/apex-aiexperts.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4056\/revisions\/4057"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/apex-aiexperts.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4056"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/apex-aiexperts.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4056"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/apex-aiexperts.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4056"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}